Monday, April 1, 2024

It's time we talked about the fall of Kyiv - The Times UK.

 NATO and the EU are at last panicking that they have lost the British-American War against Germany and Russia in the Ukraine.  On 5th March, 2024 another momentous event took place which heralded the West conceding defeat in Ukraine. The Biden Administration fired Victoria Nuland, a State Department staffer and the grand architect of the 2014 coup in Ukraine, the subsequent political and military campaigns against the Russian speaking population in the Donetsk region, NATO signalling the admission of Ukraine and the consequent hostilities which erupted. Just like Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, Syria or Vietnam the British American intervention in Ukraine has become disastrous. Hence Colonel Douglas MacGregor is of the view that Victoria Nuland was pushed out the window of the US State Department.

Here is an article (I have chopped it down) from The Times of the UK which explores the ever increasing likelihood that NATO has lost the war in Ukraine.



 

  • It is July and the Russian army is at the gates of Kyiv.
  • as spring turned to summer, Putin’s troops broke through 
  • Retreating Ukrainian forces unable to slow the advance
  • new wave of refugees fled Ukraine seeking safety 
  • This nightmare scenario being contemplated by west 
  • leaders mapping catastrophic collapse of Ukraine 
  • front line bitterly contested, real risk Ukraine pushed back
  • Foreign Affairs “Ukraine bleeding, unable to hold Russia"
  • NATO considering worst scenarios
  • Russian advance disastrous for Ukrainians
  • consequences of defeat calamitous 
  • Biden failed to foresee collapse of Afghan govt in Aug 2021 
  • west weary being stuck in impossible stalemate
  • January 2024 poll 12 EU countries only 10% think Ukraine can win
  • 37%  thought compromise most likely 
  • 19.5% think Russia would win 
  • President Trump might impose ceasefire and de facto Ukrainian surrender

My Comments :

I think only that last line is relevant. If Donald Trump becomes president again in November this year he will certainly impose a ceasefire (on the Ukraine and NATO side) and Ukraine would have to accept terms of surrender.

Meaning NATO will have to follow suit. 
Meaning Europe and the West would have to follow suit. 
Meaning that is what the majority of American voters would want.
Just because there could be a new president of the USA. 
Just like that.
So what are they fighting about in the first place?
 
Trump does not fear "threats to western civilisation"? 
Trump does not fear "threats to our way of life"? 
Trump does not fear 'Putin will be in Paris and London by June 14, 2025?

Wall Street will be upset they cannot sell weapons and the banks cannot lend money to the Ukraine War. 

The Ukraine War is going very badly for the West and Ukraine. The Russians have blown up the fifth American M1 Abrams tank. The Russians have increased the production of artillery shells by a factor of 22 times. The Russians doubled their production of just one type of attack helicopter (the MI28 'Havoc') to 296 units in 12 months. 

On the other side the Ukrainians have run out of almost everything : air defense radar and missiles, air cover, artillery ammunition,  tanks, transport and soldiers. 

The Russians are still active in their dynamic defense strategy. They are maintaining position or moving forward a few meters at a time. After liberating the four Russian speaking Donbass regions, they dont seem to be in a hurry to take any more Ukrainian territory. But they are blowing up, grinding down and flattening all Ukrainian attacks. 

If the Russians take Kharkiv and Odesa things will conclude much quicker. But they do not seem to be in a hurry.  People have already started to leave Kharkiv and Odesa.



The views expressed are those of the writer and do not necessarily reflect those of MMKtT.

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