BN & PH Membentuk Kerajaan? Will BN And PH Form The Government, With Zahid Conceding PM To Anwar?

 

The Mrs and I just returned from some errands and breakfast at our favourite Indian restaurant in Seremban, which is about half an hour from where we live. While at breakfast I ran into an old friend who is a well known academic at one of our universities. I forgot to ask him if I could use his name so I will not.

Its nomination day today. There seems to be more 'trouble' brewing in PKR and also in UMNO over candidate selection. 

I tapped my academic friend's expertise on his thoughts about the upcoming General Elections.

His view is that whichever coalition that goes past 80 Parliamentary seats first will form the next government. But they will still need to cooperate with someone outside their coalition to cross the minimum 112 seats needed. 

The first coalition to go past 80 seats could be either PH or BN. Perikatan Nasional (Bersatu, Pas and Gerakan) do not seem to be in the running for major wins. 

My friend's view is if it is either PH or BN (ie Anwar or Zahid) they will both still team up to form the government. But regardless of whether BN or PH wins more seats my friend's view is Zahid will still concede the premiership to Anwar ibrahim. Among other reasons Zahid has always held Anwar in high esteem as his mentor.

Okay folks that was from a quick five minutes over breakfast. If only I could divulge my friends name.  

If such a "coalition" of coalitions comes to pass it will mean that all the:

BN parties (UMNO, MCA, MIC,  PBRS (Sabah), Parti Cinta, KIMMA (Indian Muslim), AMIPF (Indian), MAP (Indian), MIUP (Indian), Makkal Sakti (Indian), Punjabi Party, Ikatan, MIRA) 

and the PH parties (DAP, PKR, Amanah, UPKO, MUDA)  

will all be on one side. 

As the world turns and the stomach churns. Or as the world churns and the stomach turns.

GPS Sarawak (who will likely sweep the Parliamentary seats in Sarawak) have never been comfortable with Anwar Ibrahim and may not favour forming a coalition with Anwar (or Zahid). If this comes to pass this could be a first time GPS Sarawak may not be represented in the Cabinet.  Which will give a huge boost to the 'independence' folks in the Bumi Kenyalang. 

PN or Perikatan Nasional (Bersatu, PAS, Gerakan) may not perform as well. 

PN is not liked by GPS because of the presence of PAS. The Sarawak folks reject PAS.

PN cannot get along with BN at all, especially Bersatu and UMNO.

The PN can work with the PH but that is more likely if both PH and PN do not win as many seats as they hope to win. 

When you are strong you can choose your friends.

If you are weak others have to choose you.

Lets see.

The views expressed are those of the writer and do not necessarily reflect those of MMKtT.