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Monday, September 6, 2021

Prime Minister’s twin battle – curbing Covid-19 and spurring growth

 

Ismail Sabri Yaakob has a real battle on his hands to quell the rising Covid-19 numbers and to revive a struggling economy, but his first few steps have been positive, say his party colleagues. (Bernama pic)

KUALA LUMPUR: Having navigated a battle to become Malaysia’s new prime minister, Ismail Sabri Yaakob now faces even tougher tests. He has to stem a surge in Covid-19 cases and restore public confidence in the government.

Ismail took over last month with total cases having grown to 1.8 million – 255,000 of them active – and the country’s healthcare system on the brink of collapse. By comparison, cumulative infections were only 250 when his predecessor, Muhyiddin Yassin, was appointed in March 2020.

New daily cases remain above 20,000 on average, with over 300 deaths every day. This is despite Malaysia having one of the world’s fastest vaccine programs – about 67% of the adult population have been immunised as of yesterday.

The Covid-19 situation is also hurting the economy. The Malaysia central bank last month cut its full-year gross domestic product growth target to 3.0%-4.0% from 6.0%-7.5%.

Mohamed Khaled Nordin, vice president of the Umno told Nikkei Asia that the new prime minister’s first action should be to rebuild trust between the people and the government.

“The people are growing more impatient with the government,” he said in an interview. “Even though Malaysia is showing signs of recovery, Malaysians are more vocal in voicing their opinions, more critical in their criticism, scrutinising the government more than ever.”

He said the government needs to introduce radical and fresh approaches, such as transparency on strategies, effective and efficient communication, and more accountability than Muhyiddin’s government.

Umno supreme council member Johari Abdul Ghani told Nikkei Asia that although Ismail does not have the luxury of time, he has taken a few positive steps in his first two weeks.

“He has presented some encouraging traits, especially the openness toward the opposition and institutional reforms, as well as acknowledging that the economy needs to be reopened,” said Johari, a former finance minister.

Besides having a clear plan for economic revival, Johari said the government should actively engage with businesses and investors on their concerns and needs.

“The government should have clear plans on the reopening of the economy based on science and data, as reopening cannot use a one-size-fits-all plan but rather look into every sector and subsector of the economy and supply chains,” he said.

Johari also called on Ismail to increase mass testing as the country’s positivity rate is 15% – higher than the 5% threshold set by the World Health Organization.

“This means we are under-testing,” he said. “The government also needs to offer double tax deductions to companies to undertake their own mass and regular testing for employees and subsidise small and medium enterprises.”

Although Ismail largely maintained Muhyiddin’s cabinet, he made a crucial change at the health ministry where Khairy Jamaluddin, who was in charge of the vaccination rollout, was named as the new minister.

Khairy, an Oxford University graduate, is seen as one of the brightest second-generation political leaders in the country. He targets having 80% of the country’s adult population fully vaccinated by year-end and expects to begin the inoculation program for teenagers aged between 12-17 next week.

Takeshi Kasai, WHO’s regional director for the Western Pacific region, warned Malaysia recently that a country’s control of the spread of the virus cannot be judged by its vaccination rate alone. Kasai added that any relaxation of Covid-19 restrictions should be properly studied amid the soaring new infections.

Bridget Welsh, a political analyst from the University of Nottingham (Malaysia campus), said the tiny tweaks to the cabinet show a lack of confidence in the ministers managing the economy and their ability to provide positive momentum for investment.

“The opening strategies need serious reassessment and the finance minister needs to think less about the profits of banks… and how Malaysians can start to save again, repairing the funds and security they have lost by emptying their retirement fund,” she said.

Malaysia has closed its international borders since March last year, and bars foreigners without a strong case from entering the country. The government has also banned any foreigners entering the country from India due to a spike in new cases in the last six months.

Welsh said that the new prime minister needs to rethink such policies.

“The reality of economic conditions, especially for the strained majority, needs greater prioritisation and key sectors of the economy need less xenophobic erratic lockdown policies,” she added. - FMT

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