A Present for the UMNO Delegates- A Dead MCA.

There is a system in their madness. UMNO has to go to town saying Malays will be in danger should PR wins. DAP will dominate everything. The country will turn republic and Malay kings will be in danger. Islam will be sidelined. UMNO has to do this because it must do everything to keep Malays in check. Why? Because if only 30% of the Malay electorate in each of the parliamentary seat where MCA is the incumbent vote PKR, MCA is wiped out. UMNO wants to save its Islam bashing partner at all costs even if it means speaking like an infidel.

MCA on the other must do everything to keep the Chinese intact. It is facing an uphill battle. MCA has lost its credibility and relevance. It goes to town, saying if PR wins, then PAS will talibanise everything. You can’t play mahjong, eat pork, bah kut teh, wash hair, yam seng and all that. MCA must say, PAS will restrict everything.

UMNO and MCA are playing two sides of the same coin, but the subterfuge is not fooling everyone. How do we kill off MCA for good? There is a simple formula. if only 30% of the Malay voters vote Pakatan and 80% of non-Malay voters vote the same way, MCA is finished. This is all we need. MCA can lose all its 15 seats.

The prospects of eliminating MCA are good. 80-85% of non-Malays are supporting Pakatan and 50% of the Malays will vote for Pakatan. We have many instances where voters in  areas with Malay majority giving substantial support to Pakatan. A place like Jerantut in Pahang which is almost 90% Malay gave 46% support to PR. Therefore UMNO can’t assume that just because an area has a majority Malay electorate, it can get big support. In 2008, UMNO candidates got only 2 million votes from the 5.7 million Malay voters. That’s only 35% Malay support.

But let us use 30% Malay support for Pakatan as a benchmark. Assume also that 80% of non-Malays support Pakatan. UMNO knows that it has to get big Malay support otherwise its doomed. That is why it using all the dirty tricks- racism, the specter of racial clash, the demise of Malay royalty, the assault on Islam.

So that we won’t have to see the fornicating face of Soi Lek, puke at seeing Wee Ka Siong and Ms Yen Yen, all we need is to ensure the 30:80 formula. Just get 30% of Malay support in the MCA areas and ensure we get 80% non-Malay support.  

Only 30% of Malay voters are what we need. If 30% of the Malay voters in the seats MCA won in 2008, now vote for PR- MCA is finished. If voting goes along the same line as it did in 2008, UMNO is already doomed. So we can treat UMNO’s General Assembly now as a just a sideshow- its last before the party crumbles.

Let’s do as what UMNO shouts for and let us take on what UMNO says. If the Malays heed what UMNO wants, they should withdraw their support from these MCA seats. MCA is your enemy. Its president made fun of Islam -does not the Quran command the Muslims to not make friends with Muslims and non Muslims who make fun and belittle Islam? See Quran 5:57.

MCA has 15 parliamentary seats most of them in Johor. Out of the 7 seats in Johor, only 2 have Malay majority. It’s sinful for the Malays in Air Hitam and Alor Star to vote for MCA infidels. Do like the Quran instruct- do not take them as friends or protectors because they have soiled Islam.

The following Table shows the voter profile in the 15 seats MCA currently holds.

	SEAT	Assume 80% of population actually vote	Malay voters	Non-malay voters	30% Malays  vote PR	80% non malays vote PR	PR gets
1	LABIS	26000	9620	16380	2900	13100	16000
2	AIR HITAM	30400	17000	13400	5100	10720	15820
3	KLUANG	54000	20520	33480	6156	26,784	32,940
4	TEBRAU	49000	24000	25000	7200	20,000	27,200
5	GELANG PATAH	61000	21000	40,000	6,300	32,000	39,300
6	KULAI	54,000	17,000	37,000	5,100	29,600	34,700
7	TJG PIAI	36,000	18,000	18,000	5400	14400	19,800
8	KAMPAR	39,000	10,530	28,470	3159	22776	25935
9	LUMUT	53,000	26,000	27,000	7800	21600	29400
10	TG MALIM	38,000	19,380	18,620	11400	14896	26296
11	PANDAN	49,000	24,000	25,000	7200	20,000	27,200
12	RAUB	35,000	17,150	17,850	5100	14300	19500
13	BENTONG	39,000	16,770	22,230	5000	17800	22,800
14	ALOR STAR	43,000	27,000	16,000	8100	12800	20,900
15	ALOR GAJAH	42,000	24,360	17,640	7300	14100	21,400

MCA stands a fighting chance in Air Hitam, alor star, alor gajah. Air Hitam is the seat of Wee Ka Siong, Alor Gajah is where Liaw Tiong Lai wants to shift to and Alor Star is where the assumption of only 30% of Malays voting for PR is weak. MCA is actually safe in only 2 seats- Air Hitam and Alor Gajah.

It is clear that in all the seats, if only 30% of the Malays there vote PR while 80% of non-Malays vote PR, MCA is finished as a political party. Why should the Malays in Air Hitam support Wee Ka Siong for example? MCA is a racist party consisting of anti-Islam Chinese. MCA is confrontational. Malays in Batu Pahat know the real anti Malay character of Chua Soi Lek.

After the elections, we will still allow MCA people to play mahjong, wash hair, yamseng and whatever they like. We won’t prevent you from your charkuat sessions either.

Posted by sakmongkol AK47