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Saturday, February 6, 2021

Covid-19 infectivity finally dips under 1.00

 


COVID-19 | Covid-19 infectivity nationwide dipped yesterday after hovering above 1.00 for almost a month, although some states still had a growing outbreak.

The estimated national infectivity rate (Rt) on Feb 5 was 0.99, indicating a shrinking outbreak.

This comes 23 days since the movement control order (MCO) was first imposed in five states and three territories.

However, the Rt for several states and territories is still above 1, namely Selangor (1.13), Johor (1.12), Malacca (1.09), Kuala Lumpur (1.06), Sarawak (1.05), and Pahang (1.01).

The Rt for these states and territories were, on Feb 5, between 0.02 to 0.05 lower than they were the day before.

The infectivity rate of a disease is measured by its effective reproduction number or Rt. Any number lower than 1.00 indicates a shrinking outbreak while any number above that indicates a growing one.

An Rt of 0.99 means that on average, every 100 Covid-19 patients are infecting 99 others in each cycle of disease transmission.

According to National Institute of Health (NIH) data, the country has been recording an estimated national Rt above 1.00 since Jan 6.

On Jan 13 when the targeted MCO was announced, Rt was at 1.13.

It reached a peak of 1.17 on Jan 16.

The MCO has since been expanded to all states except Sarawak.

It has also been extended twice and is now scheduled to be lifted on Feb 18. - Mkini

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