The Delta variant, known as B.1.617.2, has been around since late last year but in recent months it has become speedily dominant in many countries. It accounts for many of newly diagnosed cases worldwide. It was first detected in India in October 2020. With the Delta variant, infections can happen within 15 seconds and it is airborne. This is an example of how the coronavirus has become more contagious due to a change in its nature during mutation. Before this, close contacts could be infected if exposed to a Covid-19 positive patient in about 15 minutes and at a distance of one metre away.
Delta is more contagious than the other virus strains.
One thing that is unique about
Delta is how quickly it is spreading. Around the world, Delta will certainly accelerate
the pandemic. Infected patients carry tremendous amounts of virus in their nose
and throat, and, according to preliminary reports, can spread the virus to
others whether or not they have symptoms. Delta is spreading 50% faster
than Alpha, which was 50% more contagious than the original strain of Covid-19.
In a completely unmitigated environment - where no one is vaccinated or wearing
masks - it is estimated that the average person infected with the original
coronavirus strain will infect 2.5 other people. In the same environment, Delta
would spread from one person to 4 other people. The Delta variant grows
exponentially and more quickly. So, what seems like a fairly modest rate of
infectivity can cause the virus to dominate very quickly.
Unvaccinated
people are at risk.
People who have not been
fully vaccinated against Covid-19 are most at risk. Kids and young
people are a concern as well. A recent study from the United Kingdom showed
that children and adults under 50 were 2.5 times more likely to become infected
with Delta. And so far, no vaccine has been approved for children between the
ages of 5 to 12 years. As older age groups get vaccinated, those who are
younger and unvaccinated will be at higher risk of getting Covid-19 with any
variant. Unfortunately, Delta seems to be impacting younger age groups more
than previous variants.
Delta could
lead to 'hyperlocal outbreaks'.
If Delta continues to move
fast enough to accelerate the pandemic, the biggest questions will be about the
heightened transmissibility - how many people will get the Delta variant and
how fast will it spread? The answers could depend, in part, on where you
live -and how many people in your location are vaccinated. Where there are
pockets that are highly vaccinated that are adjacent to places that say have
40% vaccination, the problem is that this allows the virus to hop, skip, and
jump from one poorly vaccinated area to another. In some cases, a
low-vaccination area that is surrounded by high vaccination areas could end up
with the virus contained within its borders, and the result could be
“hyperlocal outbreaks. Then, the pandemic could look different than what we
have seen before, where there are real hotspots around the country. So,
instead of a long period of pandemic that peters out once enough people are
vaccinated or naturally immune (because they have had the virus), an uptick in
cases would be compressed into a shorter period of time. That sounds almost
like a good thing. But it
is certainly not. If too many people are infected at once in a particular area,
the local healthcare system will become overwhelmed, and more people will
die.
Researchers have found that people with a previous Covid-19 infection seemed to have fairly robust and long-lasting immune responses. They found that antibodies lasted well, with a small drop in levels at 6 to 8 months after infection. They also found that T cells levels reduced slightly, and B cells increased - a finding they cannot explain. The scientists emphasise that these findings are by no means conclusive evidence of the long-lasting protective immunity after a Covid-19 infection
There is still more to
learn about Delta.
One important question is
whether the Delta strain will make you sicker than the original virus. But many
scientists say they do not know yet. Early information about the severity of
Delta included a study from Scotland that showed the Delta variant was about
twice as likely as Alpha to result in hospitalization in unvaccinated
individuals.
Another question focuses on
how Delta affects the body. There have been reports of symptoms that are
different from those associated with the original coronavirus strain. It seems
like cough and loss of smell are less common. And headache, sore throat,
runny nose, and fever are present based on the most recent surveys in the
United Kingdom.
It is unclear whether Delta
could cause more breakthrough cases - infections in people who have been
vaccinated or have natural immunity from a prior Covid-19 infection. A Public
Health England analysis showed that at least two vaccines are effective against
Delta. The Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine was 88% effective against symptomatic disease and
96% effective against hospitalization from Delta in the studies, while
Oxford-AstraZeneca vaccine was 60% effective against symptomatic disease and
93% effective against hospitalization. The studies tracked participants who
were fully vaccinated with both recommended doses.
Will vaccinated people need
booster shots to protect against Delta? Some experts say it is too soon to know
whether we will need a booster modified to target the Delta variant - or to
bolster protection against the original virus. But both Pfizer and Moderna are
working on boosters, although they would still face the hurdle of getting FDA
authorization for them. However, a booster shot might be necessary for people
over 65 years old and those with compromised immune systems.
Vaccination
is the best protection against Delta.
The most important thing you
can do to protect yourself from Delta is to get fully vaccinated. If you get a
two-dose vaccine, you must get both shots and then wait the recommended
two-week period for those shots to take full effect.
If you are in a crowded
gathering, potentially with unvaccinated people, you must put your face mask on
and keep social distancing. If you are unvaccinated and eligible for the
vaccine, the best thing you can do is to get vaccinated soonest.
Of course, there are some people who cannot get the vaccine because their doctor has advised them against it for health reasons or in some cases, they may choose not to get it. With the rise in Delta variant, many of the fence sitters may opt to get vaccinated.
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