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Tuesday, July 9, 2013

Estimated Indian Voters : GE14

http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/images/uploads/2013/april2013/indians-april23.jpg 
Between the GE’s of 2004 and 2008, there was an increase of only 13,800 new Indian voters showing a mere 1.9% increase. However, between the GE’s of 2008 and 2013 there was an incredible 233,456 new Indian voters which showed an amazing 31.6% increase. 
Paraman Subramaniam
In the 2004 GE, registered Indian voters totaled 724,423. This represented 7.43% of the then total registered voters.
In the 2008 GE, the total Indian registered voters totaled 738,223 which represented 6.87% of the total registered voters then.
In the 2013 GE, 971,679 Indians were registered to vote, representing 7.32% of the total registered voters.
Between the GE’s of 2004 and 2008, there was an increase of only 13,800 new Indian voters showing a mere 1.9% increase. However, between the GE’s of 2008 and 2013 there was an incredible 233,456 new Indian voters which showed an amazing 31.6% increase. This percentage increase was more than double that of the Malays or Chinese new voters during the same period, meaning the Malays and Chinese recorded around a 15% new registered voters as compared to their respective GE12 numbers.
It is believed that this huge surge in Indian voter registration took place post Nov 25th 2007 Hindraf rally, which attributed to raising the political enlightenment and awakening of the Indians in general. There were only around 30 plus working days after this rally before registration was closed for GE12 hence the spillover effect was felt after that elections, well into the year 2012.
It is interesting to note that there were an additional 276k eligible Indians that had not registered to vote in the last GE. This would mean that roughly 78% of the Indian population that were eligible to vote were registered to vote in GE 13.
If the next GE were to be held in 2017/2018, there will be a further 180k Indians who will come of age and be eligible to register to vote.

It is therefore estimated that there will be roughly 1.1 million registered Indian voters in GE 14, taking into an account of roughly 75% of eligible Indian voters would have been registered to vote by then.

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