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Friday, March 27, 2015

PAS’ future looks bleak

Hadi will remain party president and, because of that, PAS will lose non-Muslim support, says Shahbudin Husin
Shahbudin-Husin_Abdul-Hadi-Awang_600PETALING JAYA: Abdul Hadi Awang is likely to remain as PAS President after the party elections in May and this is bad for the party’s foreseeable future as a political organisation, according to analyst Shahbudin Husin.
In his latest blog posting, Shahbudin says Hadi probably won’t be defeated even if there’s a challenge for the PAS presidency and neither will he resign willingly. This means that the party will lose non-Muslim support in the next general election, he adds.
“Even though there’s a general impression that Hadi is a weak leader in various aspects, the delegates to the PAS convention this May will ensure that he keeps the presidency,” he says.
“Neither will he withdraw willingly or be asked to withdraw because there is no other position he can take in the party, with Haron Din already in place as Spiritual Leader.”
Although a few leaders have been nominated to challenge Hadi, Shahbudin figures that the only person likely to accept his nomination is former vice-president Ahmad Awang, “who will most probably be defeated”.
He says there is a chance that Hadi will resign after the party election, but only if Tuan Ibrahim Man defeats Mohamad Sabu for the deputy presidency “because Tuan Ibrahim, who comes from a religious backround, is pro-Hadi.”
What this means, Shahbudin points out, is that there’s little hope of seeing Hadi leaving the PAS presidency before the next general election if Mohamad Sabu retains his position this May.
“There’s no possibility that he would allow Mohamad Sabu to take over even as interim president. And in the 2017 PAS election, Hadi is sure to defend his presidency again.”
With such a scenario, he says, PAS will lose the non-Malay votes in the next general election, which will likely be held close to the expiry of the current parliament in May 2018.

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