Does Chinese deserve to be Sarawak DCM? Statistical answer

PBB boss Adenan Satem has appointed three Deputy Chief Ministers for Sarawak.

They are:

• Abang Johari Tun Openg (PBB deputy president)
• Douglas Unggah Embas (PBB senior vice president)
• James Masing (PRS president)

Note: Douglas and James are Christians.

NST graphics

PBB made clean sweep of its 40 seats

Sarawak BN won 72 seats in the 82-seat assembly in the recent 11th state election.

BN component parties breakdown of the 72:

•  PBB put up 40 candidates, won 40 (success rate: 100%)

•  PRS put up 11 candidates, won 11 (success rate: 100%)

•  SUPP put up 13 candidates, won 7 (success rate: 54%)

•  SPDP put up 5 candidates, won 3 (success rate: 60%)

• BN put up 13 direct candidates:
  • 7 former UPP candidates, 5 won (success rate: 71%)
  • 5 former Teras candidates, 3 won (success rate: 60%)
  • 3 candidates in new seats, 3 won (success rate: 100%)

Note:

(a) Of the UPP’s seven candidates, four are Chinese in Bawang Assan, Dudong, Pelawan, Pujut while three are pribumi in Mambong, Engkilili, Opar.

(b) Teras’s William Mawan Ikom won Pakan, Rosey Yunus (Bekenu) and Paulus Palu Gumbang (Batu Danau)
(c) Miro Simuh won Serembu, John Ilus (Bukit Semuja) and Gerawat Gala (Mulu)

Conclusion:

Chinese were represented in SUPP and by former members of UPP. Thus, if a Chinese YB had been up for consideration as Deputy Chief Minister, he ought rightly to have been from SUPP.

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Charles Santiago ‎@mpklang

Sarawak Chinese cheated by Adenan, claims state @DAPSarawak chief Chong Chieng Jenhttps://www.malaysiakini.com/news/341452 

8:01 PM - 13 May 2016

 
•  66 Retweets
 
•  22 likes

Small Chinese swing vs largely hostile Chinese sentiments

So therefore let’s evaluate the SUPP performance in Sarawak’s May 7 election.

Aside from Francis Harden Hollis, the rest of the SUPP candidates are Chinese. And from this round dozen SUPP Chinese, half of them lost their bid for a seat.

The six SUPP losses are in two maximum Chinese urban areas having 92.8% and 90.0% Chinese voters respectively, two heavily Chinese areas (89.8% and 85.9%) and two significantly Chinese-dominant areas (73.7% and 73.5%). See details in the list footnoted at the bottom of page.

Half a dozen seats with above 70 percent Chinese electorate emphatically rejected the BN albeit this time the opposition did not receive such overwhelming support as they did in 2011.

SUPP won in one mainly Chinese, and four Chinese-majority mixed seats

In the half dozen seats that are won by SUPP, the electorate is between 35 and 62 percent Chinese. The following SUPP seats – Batu Kitang (54.8% Chinese voters), Meradong (55.0%) and Senadin (49.7%) – are essentially mixed seats.

A sole exception is Repok where the SUPP man won in a constituency with three-quarter Chinese voters. Meanwhile SUPP’s sole non-Chinese winner Francis Harden anak Hollis snagged rural Simanggang which has 35.5 percent Chinese voters against a Dayak majority.

SUPP president Dr Sim Kui Hian won Batu Kawah which has 62.3 percent Chinese voters. His victory is a high watermark considering how giler taksub the Chinese are terhadap DAP.

Although there was undeniably a Chinese swingback – calculated at 9.6 percent byDah Ikhwan – Team Adenan’s landslide win was driven largely by the Dayaks (and other pribumi) and the Melayu-Melanau.

The reason is understandable — the natives were quite simply freaked out by the biaDAP horde who swamped their land like a plague of locusts.

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See,

‘Sarawakians voted against the politics of hate and insults‘ (The Anti Daily,13 May 2016)

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BELOW: Sarawak is the biggest Parliamentary bloc in the Dewan Rakyat as well as the BN anchor, surpassing Umno stronghold Johor

Malays are not that reliable anymore as BN voter base

From the table above, it is correct to infer that Sabah and Sarawak are the BN fixed deposit.

And from the outcome of the Sarawak election, it is reaffirmed that the Borneo natives are the BN’s most secure and trusted voter base. Even more so than the fragmented Malays who support PAS, PKR, PAN and Protun as well as those who makan dedak DAP.

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Read, ‘RBA Melayu‘

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In the BN, the No.1 and No.2 federal posts, i.e. PM and DPM, go to Umno. Sarawak has followed the same formula with PBB taking the CM and one of the DCM posts.

The remaining two Sarawak DCM posts were awarded to Dayak Christians and hence sidelining the Chinese.

What did Adenan really promise the Chinese?

There were certainly expectations of a Chinese DCM after SUPP managed to claw back from DAP the seats Batu Kawah, Meradong, Repok and Piasau.

Adenan had earlier mentioned the possibility of a Chinese deputy should the community grant a strong mandate to the BN. It would have been a morale booster and symbolic olive leaf if the SUPP president were made DCM.

But the wish did not pan out.

We can only guess that Adenan does not consider the Chinese support returning to the BN to be adequate and deserving of the recognition. Or probably he’s equally freaked out by the pathological support that the community persists in showering on the DAP.

Whatever it may be, Adenan’s omission has provided the DAP with another ammo against the BN. Unsurprisingly, the DAP has already begun its clamour that the Chinese have been cheated by BN Sarawak.

This decision by Adenan to not reward Sarawak Chinese voters rings a death knell for any hope, however faint, of some degree of peninsular Chinese support returning to the BN in GE14.

Read HERE how a particular egotistic Protun liar keeps getting his predictions laughably wrong — saying BN can win back the Chinese like in Sarawak. That’s what happens when a big-headed blogger gazes at his navel instead of at hard data.

Footnote:

SUPP won

1.

Candidate: Lo Khere Chiang
Seat: Batu Kitang

Chinese voters: 54.8%

2.

Candidate: Dr Sim Kui Hian
Seat: Batu Kawah

Chinese voters: 62.3%

3.

Candidate: Francis Harden Hollis
Seat: Simanggang

Chinese voters: 35.5%

4.

Candidate: Huang Tiong Sii
Seat: Repok

Chinese voters: 75.0%

5.

Candidate: Ding Kuong Hiing
Seat: Meradong

Chinese voters: 55.0%

6.

Candidate: Sebastian Ting
Seat: Piasau

Chinese voters: 61.1%

7.

Candidate: Lee Kim Shin
Seat: Senadin

Chinese voters: 49.7%
.

SUPP lost

1.

Candidate: Peter Pau Kiu Sung
Seat: Padungan

Chinese voters: 92.8%

2.

Candidate: Milton Foo
Seat: Pending

Chinese voters: 90.0%

3.

Candidate: Sih Hua Tong
Seat: Batu Lintang

Chinese voters: 85.9%

4.

Candidate: Wilfred Yap Yau Shin
Seat: Kota Sentosa

Chinese voters: 73.5%

5.

Candidate: Chiang Buong Tung
Seat: Bukit Assek

Chinese voters: 89.8%

6.

Candidate: Pau Chiong Ung
Seat: Tanjong Batu

Chinese voters: 73.7%

-helenang