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Sunday, January 25, 2015

BATTLE FOR MALAYSIA: Mahathir-Daim vs Najib-Anwar, which team is WINNING?

BATTLE FOR MALAYSIA: Mahathir-Daim vs Najib-Anwar, which team is WINNING?
Who will lose? Who will gain and who will triumph? It is interesting to watch the mudslinging match of the year! But while it is a match between Umno most powerful people, Anwar is the odd man out. It seems that Anwar is taking advantage of the situation by throwing some mud into the arena.
Tun Dr. Mahathir has always been critical of so many things. It is his nature to speak his mind out and not worry about the repercussions. He has his own vision of things and a mission still not accomplished.
In contrast, Tun Daim Zainudin seldom comments or criticizes things, instead he prefers to talk only when necessary. He will retaliate if the attacker crosses the line. After all Daim have had his days and his share of the worldly things. Thus he prefers to be quiet.
Datuk Seri Najib Razak, is desperately trying to defend himself, stay in power and run the country which is facing many difficulties, some are beyond his control and mostly are his own blunders.
Dato’ Seri Anwar Ibrahim however has to settle a score with Daim whom he has accused of amassing billions improperly. How would you feel when people do not believe what you told them? You will look like a liar! That is what Anwar wants to prove, “I told you so!”
If by helping MACC to get Daim will make Najib to be kind to him and not send him (Anwar) to jail, why not? Anwar is struggling to save his political life!
Even if Najib does not appreciate what Anwar has done and still sends him to jail, at least, Anwar has been able to prove that Daim is indeed scandalous! If proven that Daim got filthy rich through some improper ways, then may be the authorities could get the money back for the people.
Secrets of the past shade future prospects
Now, if Anwar is jailed, who will lead Pakatan Rakyat when the coalition is not in the best of terms now? Anwar must not go to jail, to ensure PR still has an effective leadership.
Who will replace Najib as PM if Dr M and Daim succeed in ousting him?
The threat by Datuk A. Kadir Jasin that by attacking Daim, Najib will be in trouble of course is valid, but Daim is not the one who is posing the real threat, it is Mahathir.
It is Mahathir who is the mastermind, while Daim is the “side-kick”. If Daim was to be checkmated by Najib, Daim will just be the fall guy anyway.
Just like Datuk Ariff Sabri Aziz (SakmongkolAK47) and Chegubard who have their own views and opinions, the rest of us are only guessing the obvious. But what has been going on between the four top most politicians may never be made known to us. Every one of them has his own secrets. Maybe their secrets are also interconnected.
When this is over, all of them would come out unscathed except for Anwar; he will face the extremes. He will either achieve both his objectives or end up in jail.
Dr. Mahathir will either come out empty handed or achieve his objectives but dented and exhausted with all his energy and bullets spent.
Daim will either be facing the MACC and the authorities to explain his wealth with a dented reputation or still survive but humiliated. It is also quite likely that the allegations of him engaging in sex with underage girls after his personal doctor vets their virginity will suddenly disappear and be 'forgotten' by the authorities.
As for Najib, he could either be kicked out or stay in power. But if he manages to cling on, he will be more of a lame duck than he is now.
Winners and losers
Let us look at the possible scenarios.
In the end, if there is no clear winner and Najib still stay in power but Anwar is jailed, then Najib will be in a very weak position - precarious even. And the danger not directly from Pakatan but from his own Umno foes.
Thus even without Anwar, PR could win the GE-14 due to an infighting-weakened Umno. Even if Umno-BN wins, it would be very difficult for Najib to form the government.
This is when Pas president Hadi Awang finally gets what he has been coveting. Najib would invite PAS to help him form a terribly Malay-dominated unity government.
Old friends, now bitter foes, put on the smiles for the cameras at Parliament house
Scenario two would be if Anwar was allowed due justice from the courts and freed of his sodomy accusations. Najib could remain in power, and even though a lame duck, he would be much better off than in the first scenario.
He would use the threat of Anwar to cow the likes of Dr M and Daim while he continues to jet-set round the world dressed in RM10,000 suits and hob-nob with the 'orang putih' (Westerners).
PR could win more easily. But if Umno/BN wins the GE-14, it would still be very difficult for Najib to form the government. But in such a case, he would invite PR to form a unity government not just PAS. That would actually be for the benefit of the country.
Revenge and greed for power
Scenario three, is if Najib is replaced by someone else and Anwar is jailed. Then it would be very difficult for us to say who will win; Umno/BN and PR have a 50-50 chance. It does not make much difference whom Umno chooses to be its president by then. The situation in the party would be too volatile to be sustainable. Same thing goes for Malaysia and its economy.
Scenario four is if Najib is replaced by someone and Anwar is free, there is a very high chance that PR could triumph and Umno/BN would be the Opposition.
This would be the situation the top leaders in Umno, for fear of losing everything, would avoid most. Provided of course, they are truly serious in their dedication to Umno and they have not already stashed away most of their ill-gotten loot overseas!
So it's still an open race. Logic may not count in the last mile, greed for power and revenge will come first! - MAILBAG

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