The End Of Mahmoud Abbas, the Palestinian Authority and the Two State idea.

More troubles in the Middle East.  This is from Middle East sources :

The end of Mahmoud Abbas
16 years after failed Camp David, fiction of two-state solution shattered

Like it or not, Palestinian Authority (PA) of 22 years will cease to exist soon

PA leader Abbas’s security forces lose control over West Bank

Abbas' bureaucracies about to lose control to Hamas

Abbas' own Fatah militias have turned against him

in recent weeks insurrection by Fatah militias and tribal leaders against PA
In Nablus, Fatah cells open rebellion against PA security forces

Since Aug 18, Fatah repeatedly engaged PA forces in lethal gunfire

Nablus is now in state of “total anarchy.”
In Hebron, tribal leaders are bypassing PA which no longer represents them

Their first major action was to meet King Abdullah of Jordan (directly)

in Ramallah, seat of Abbas’s power, PA losing to NGOs 

limits PA’s economic control over NGOs and their operations.

All this fighting amidst encroaching PA municipal elections, Oct 8.
Hamas widely expected to win local governments in West Bank

Hamas’s expected victory pushing Fatah cells to reject PA

Many cells will transfer allegiance once Hamas win elections

Given Fatah's looming defeat, PA wondering why Abbas doesn’t cancel elections

Abbas calculates that Israel will step in cancel the elections for him

pro Abbas conspiracy theory : Israel not canceling elections 

because Israel in cahoots with Hamas and “collaborators” to undermine PA

After 20 years of PA, Israel lost patience with Abbas and is looking past him

Israel's direct dealing approach sent shock waves through Abbas’s palaces

For 22 years, Israel spoke only to Palestinian Authority (PA)

Israel now to speak directly to Palestinians 

marks end of Israel’s acceptance of PA.

Israel’s willingness to let Abbas fall 

wider Arab world’s indifference, disgust with Palestinians

Arab media's growing impatience with Palestinian Authority

Arab commentators harshly criticized PA 

who insist Israel is most pressing issue on pan-Arab agenda

• disintegration of Syria, Iraq, Yemen and Libya 
• rise of Iran as a mortal threat
• Israel’s growing importance as ally to Sunni Arab regimes 

make Palestinian cause look downright offensive to Arab world

Israel to let Abbas fall also because it is inevitable 

Once Hamas takes control over local govt,  end of Abbas 

already happening in towns and villages in West Bank 

Fatah cells transferring allegiance to Hamas

Confrontation between Israel and Hamas in West Bank  inevitable

process will be rapid

Hamas’s takeover of Gaza from Fatah overnight June 2007

seizure of West Bank will happen in blink of an eye
PA hoping for last minute cancellation of elections
even then Abbas rapidly losing all control 

cannot be reversed

Palestinians reject Israel, Abbas and  PA
 

Latest survey regarding two-state solution

world leaders said only way for peace is independent Palestine

poll shows this plan nonstarter for majority of Palestinians and Israelis

mere 39% of Palestinians accept this formula

PA rejected two-state formula at Camp David 16 years ago

fictional peace process maintained for two reasons. 

1st is intimidation by US / West despite obvious failures
2nd, Abbas' corrupt dictatorship needs two-state formula

has allowed him to serve 11 years of five-year term of office

allowed Abbas, sons and cronies to build fortunes 

 

Abbas’s reign ending, West losing their man in Ramallah

Abbas’s Hamas successors not beholden to West

16 years after failed Camp David summit

fiction of two-state solution to be shattered once and for all. 

what will Israelis do ?

My comments :  What the Israelis do will depend on what Hamas does. If Hamas takes over the West Bank (plus Gaza) and shoots rockets into Israel, the Israelis will invade both the West Bank and Gaza.

Only this time there will not be any support from Saudi Arabia AND Egypt. Or any of the other Arab states. Egypt is completely anti Hamas. Saudi Arabia and Israel are now secret allies against Iran.  There is no more Ghaddafy in Libya and Iraq will not get involved either.  Only Iran will help the Palestinians but they are Shiah.

The two state solution will work only when the idea is workable and beneficial to everyone. If people like this idea, the question is what needs to happen to make it workable? Otherwise drop the idea.  

It has been another generation of sadness for Palestine because the failure of the two-state idea has robbed them of another 22 years.  

Where are the great geniuses, good samaritans and busy bodies who thought up this idea and kept it afloat for 22 years? Where are they now when this idea has failed and also prolonged the Palestinian misery for so long?   Will they accept responsibility for this failure or have they moved on to 'save' other conflict zones (Syria, Libya, Iraq, Afghanistan, Kurdistan, Mindanao, Rohingyas, etc).  Or maybe they are busy organising the next fund raiser?

The best hope for the Middle East is democracy and a free Press. Only one country has it now.