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10 APRIL 2024

Wednesday, May 8, 2013

STOP YOUR NONSENSE, NAJIB & SOI LEK: This is not just a "Chinese tsunami"


STOP YOUR NONSENSE, NAJIB & SOI LEK: This is not just a "Chinese tsunami"
The BN secured a simple majority to form the next federal government and regained the Kedah state regime. Meanwhile, Pakatan Rakyat secured Penang, Selangor and Kelantan and the DAP has gained more seats compared to the previous election.
The election result is in-line with the pre-election forecasts. However, PKR adviser Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim said that Pakatan Rakyat will not compromise to the result full of questions.
I am afraid that it would be difficult to calm the political situation within a short period of time after the election. It is worthy of attention whether there would be a series of legal proceedings.
Umno shakeout
Another cause of concern after the election is, would BN chairman Datuk Seri Najib Razak's leadership in Umno be shaken by the narrow victory? Would the conservative forces within the party take the opportunity to force him hand over Umno's and even federal government's leadership baton?
The BN has not only failed to regain a two-third majority in the Parliament, but has also won seven parliamentary seats less than the previous election. The BN's result seems not ideal but Umno has actually won nine parliamentary seats more this time, while regaining the Kedah state regime from PAS. Undeniably, Najib has indeed contributed to the failure of Pakatan Rakyat in taking over Putrajaya.
I believe that Najib's leadership in Umno and the BN, at least for the time being, will not be challenged. And it would be more in line with the Chinese community's wishes to let him continue to serve as the prime minister, even though Chinese voters have vetoed the BN with their votes.
However, there are still some uncertainties, such as the BN has won Terengganu and Perak by a narrow margin, with a majority of two seats in Terengganu and three seats in Perak. The regime change of Perak after the 2008 general election is a lesson and warning to all.
Johor proven vulnerable
As in Johor, Lim Kit Siang has indeed set off a political tsunami and created multiple records in the history of Johor:
  1. In the Gelang Patah battle, Lim defeated Johor BN chief Datuk Abdul Ghani Othman with a majority of 14,762 votes, causing the latter to become the first defeated incumbent Menteri Besar of the state;
  2. Pakatan Rakyat has unprecedentedly won five parliamentary seats and 18 state seats in Johor;
  3. The DAP alone has gained four parliamentary seats and 13 state seats, surpassing the MCA in Johor for the first time;
  4. The PKR achieved a breakthrough by winning one parliamentary seat and one state seat, enabling it to build its bridgehead in Johor;
  5. PAS won four state seats, creating the best record ever in the state;
  6. Umno lost two parliamentary seats and two state seats, bringing Johor Umno the greatest loss and it is also its first time to lose a parliamentary seat;
  7. All parliamentary seats had more than 80% of turnout rates with the highest achieved 89.3%.
In addition, there was a substantial decline in the number of votes gained by Umno in Johor. Take parliamentary seats for example, Umno achieved vote increment only in three constituencies, including the one contested by Deputy Prime Minister Tan Sri Muhyiddin Yassin, while suffering drop in the other 14 parliamentary seats. For example, the numbers of vote gained in Pasir Gudang and Pulai have respectively reduced by almost 16,000 and 17,000. Incumbent Deputy Education Minister Dr Mohd Puad Zarkashi, who won with a majority of over 12,000 votes in the previous election, was even defeated in Batu Pahat. These showed that Malay voters did not absent from the Johor political tsunami. They were just not as fanatic as Chinese voters.
Therefore, it is not just a "Chinese tsunami", but the Malays have also contributed in setting off the storm. At least, it is the case in Johor!

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