Pakatan Rakyat would have won the 13th general election with a total of 114 parliamentary seats out of 222 if Malaysia uses the proportional voting system, according to political scientist Wong Chin Huat (below).
Presenting this view at a Bar Council forum today, he said the mixed-member proportional voting system allows almost perfect correlation between popular vote and seats.
He said that assuming this system had been in place, PAS would have taken 33 seats, PKR 46 and the DAP 35, pushing the total number ahead of the BN's 106.
Star and Sarawak Workers Party would have also won a seat each.
"Even if west and east Malaysia are made two constituencies, with the same formula, Pakatan will still win 110, the BN 109, Star 2 and SWP 1," he said.
Instead, he said, Malaysia uses the first-past-the-post system which even if constituencies are perfectly apportioned, allows a party or coalition to claim victory with only slightly more than 25 percent popular votes.
"To win, you have to get a little more than half of the seats, and to win each seat you have to win a little more than half of the votes there," he explained.
Presenting this view at a Bar Council forum today, he said the mixed-member proportional voting system allows almost perfect correlation between popular vote and seats.
He said that assuming this system had been in place, PAS would have taken 33 seats, PKR 46 and the DAP 35, pushing the total number ahead of the BN's 106.Star and Sarawak Workers Party would have also won a seat each.
"Even if west and east Malaysia are made two constituencies, with the same formula, Pakatan will still win 110, the BN 109, Star 2 and SWP 1," he said.
Instead, he said, Malaysia uses the first-past-the-post system which even if constituencies are perfectly apportioned, allows a party or coalition to claim victory with only slightly more than 25 percent popular votes.
"To win, you have to get a little more than half of the seats, and to win each seat you have to win a little more than half of the votes there," he explained.
In a mixed-member proportional system, the total number of seats in an assembly are allocated to parties proportionally to the number of voters they received.
It is used in several countries, including Germany, and involves a more complicated method of determining which candidate will represent each constituency in an assembly.
It is used in several countries, including Germany, and involves a more complicated method of determining which candidate will represent each constituency in an assembly.
Disparity between east and west
Wong, who is also part of electoral reform group Bersih, said that even if Malaysia remains on the first-past-the-post system, it is possible to put in measures to limit fraud.
Among them are to limit intra-state malapportionment and to seek judicial reviews of constituencies which are disproportionately bigger than others.
He also urged negotiation with East Malaysian states in order to minimise disparity between constituencies between the east and the west.
"With one sixth of the electorate, East Malaysia controls 25 percent of parliamentary seats.
"They say it's a legacy issue and that they will not give that away until they can ensure a better deal so the states won't be more marginalised than now.
"But any right-thinking East Malaysian can see that the system is not working now, even if they still have this to threaten Kuala Lumpur," he said.
According to the agreement for the formation of Malaysia in 1963, Sabah, Sarawak and Singapore should have a total 34 percent of parliamentary seats.
Among them are to limit intra-state malapportionment and to seek judicial reviews of constituencies which are disproportionately bigger than others.
He also urged negotiation with East Malaysian states in order to minimise disparity between constituencies between the east and the west.
"With one sixth of the electorate, East Malaysia controls 25 percent of parliamentary seats.
"They say it's a legacy issue and that they will not give that away until they can ensure a better deal so the states won't be more marginalised than now.
"But any right-thinking East Malaysian can see that the system is not working now, even if they still have this to threaten Kuala Lumpur," he said.
According to the agreement for the formation of Malaysia in 1963, Sabah, Sarawak and Singapore should have a total 34 percent of parliamentary seats.
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