Malay tsunami?

What Awang Selamat wrote in Mingguan Malaysia today - on the possibility of a 'Malay tsunami in the 14th general election - makes we wonder which Malays from the political divide will launch the assult?

Will it be the Malays in Umno or those in PAS and PKR?

We already had the 'Chinese tsunami' for the 13th general election (of course the Indians and Sikh will not be able to have their own tsunami) that saw Barisan Nasional almost lost its grip on the Federal Government, an issue still 'useful' in speeches by Umno leaders, especially during the just concluded general assembly.

PAS and PKR will change their strategies to garner more support from Malays and Bumiputeras to create a "Malay tsunami" in the next general election, columnist Awang Selamat said today.

After the "Chinese tsunami" in the 13th General Election, as described by Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Razak, Awang predicted the outcome of the 14th polls would revolve around the Malay votes.
"Umno will have a fierce fight on their hands from PAS and PKR in order to win support from the Malay majority. PAS and PKR are set to change their game plan," Awang said in his Sunday column in “Utusan Malaysia”.
"The Umno supreme council needs to be humble as they will have nobody to blame but themselves if the party fails to retain Putrajaya in the next polls."
The party's mouthpiece, “Utusan Malaysia”, reminded the supreme council members not to focus on their personal ambitions to the extent of forgetting Umno's fundamental principles.
Awang, the pseudonym for the newspaper's collective editorial team, said the supreme council members would be held responsible if Umno failed to defend its political position in the next general election.
"Be wary, while Umno is strong, it is not invincible. Everyone must take up the struggle and fight for Umno to be supported, especially by Malays and Bumiputeras," Awang said.

Personally, I do not believe the Malays will have the 'will and column' to launch such a big political assault. Its different from the Chinese.

Why? They are still very much divided. The 4 million Malays in Umno and about 3 million in PAS and PKR will find it difficult to align themselves together. The Umno-PAS 'muzzakarah' that has yet to materialise will not promise anything, including the possibility of the Islamic party joining Barisan Nasional.

PKR will remain forever with DAP unless Anwar gives up his great ambition to wrest Putrajaya and become prime minister. But still, PKR Malays (almost all are ex-Umno members) will not jettison the plan to neutralise Umno.

And what about the approximately 5 million Malays who are partiless. Its not easy at this particular juncture to tell which side would they be in four or five years from now although Umno, PAS and PKR are trying their best to lure them.

And I agree with Umno sec-gen Ku Nan that such a 'Malay tsunami' will not happen, or quite impossible to say.

KUALA LUMPUR, Dec 8 — Umno secretary-general Datuk Seri Tengku Adnan Tengku Mansor dismissed today an editorial by Utusan Malaysiawarning of a “Malay tsunami” if Umno does not continue to be a party loved by Malays .

In its “Awang Selamat” column, the Umno-owned daily said PAS and PKR will try to create a “Malay tsunami” in the next general election.
“After the shocking Chinese tsunami in GE-13 failed to overthrow the government, the strategy is now to focus on creating a Malay tsunami in GE-14.
“Beware, although Umno is strong it is not invincible.
“Strive to be the party that is loved especially by the Muslims, Malays and Bumiputera. There is no other option,” it said.
Tengku Adnan, however, dismissed it as only the views of the editors at Utusan Malaysia, and not Malaysians.
“Look at what happened to Umno, we increased from 79 seats to 88 seats and after this there will be increase of more seats, believe me.
“And I believe once MIC is sorted out, after 21st MCA will be sorted out, then they will know what will happen to them,” he said, referring to Barisan Nasional component parties’ respective elections.

Maybe Utusan has its own calculation on the 'Malay tsunami' and I dare not say its totally impossible, unless PAS and Umno merge (just like the planned Gerakan-MCA merger).

Most importantly is for Umno not to belittle its main allies MCA and MIC. We need them...