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Saturday, July 16, 2022

Ukraine War Is Lost, Major Turning Point End August 2022

 Did you know that there are about one million Chinese from China who have moved into Siberia (legally as investors and economic migrants). Here is a map of Siberia. It is larger than western Europe.


In this huge area there are only about four million inhabitants. I believe the bear population in Siberia is more than the human population. In early 2000s the Russians signed an agreement with China to facilitate Chinese economic enterprise in Siberia. This is because the native Russians were not keen on developing such a vast space in any hurry.

The one million Chinese have begun farms, furniture industries, manufacturing, food and all sorts of other businesses which are helping to develop Siberia. 

The links between China and Russia are very close. More importantly they are mutually beneficial.

Some analysts say that the Ukraine War has already been lost by Ukraine. Every other day another city or town keeps falling.  Mariupol, Kherson, Sverodonetsk, Lysychansk, Siversk. Next up is a place called Bakhmut. With that not only the Donbas  but perhaps half of the entire Ukraine would have fallen. The analysts say that towards end August the Russians may offer peace terms to Ukraine.

Of course with half of Ukraine behind them it will be largely non-negotiable. So the Ukraine side will reject the offer (this is supposed to happen end August). Once they reject the offer "all hell will break loose". The Russians are prepared for the next level and they know what to do next.

Taking over the entire Ukraine is possible. A complete stop of all trade with Europe and the USA is also possible. No more gas, oil, raw materials, grains, fertiliser etc from Russia. Completely. Gas prices will shoot up again.

There will be riots in Europe. Parts of German industry will have to shut down. Germany will suffer the most.

The views expressed are those of the writer and do not necessarily reflect those of MMKtT.

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