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Monday, October 23, 2017

HOW MUCH WILL NAJIB PAY? AZMIN & PKR REMAIN PAKATAN’S GREATEST WEAK SPOT – MAHATHIR IS RIGHT TO BE CAUTIOUS, PAY ENOUGH & SOME WILL JUMP

There is still a sense of uneasiness about Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad among many voters. They cannot decide whether they can trust someone who can change his political alliance and views the way people change their clothes.
POLITICIANS sometimes become the news even when they are not around and that was what happened with Selangor Mentri Besar Datuk Seri Azmin Ali.
His “absence” at the Pakatan Harapan rally became a talking point at the event. The rally was in Selangor and everyone had expected Azmin to play a prominent role and use the gathering to strengthen Pakatan’s hold on the state.
He did turn up as the sun was about to set and he was mobbed by those who saw him. It was what one would call a “cameo appearance”. He was in a red sports shirt but it was not the anti-kleptocracy T-shirt that everyone, including Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad, was wearing.
By evening, word got back to him that people at the rally were asking, “where is Azmin?” So he tweeted pictures of the dinner held to raise funds for the Rohingya cause.
Many have noticed that he seems to have scaled back on party politics to focus on his Mentri Besar duties. He is aware that Selangoreans are tired of the politicking and gimmicks.
He wants the track record of his state government to take precedence over the politics of Pakatan.
Azmin: He made a cameo appearance at the rally.
Besides, his team has been burning the midnight oil to prepare the state budget which will be presented at the state assembly next month.
To compound things, three of his most senior and experienced officers were suddenly transferred out to the Federal Government while his state financial officer reached retirement age.
Of course, some thought that he did not wish to be too closely associated with the gathering because he could see that the turnout was embarrassing to say the least.
The venue is in the heart of Petaling Jaya, it is next to the Federal Highway, there is a LRT station across the road and ample parking. The organisers had predicted a crowd of 100,000 and there have been all sorts of excuses for the poor turnout – it was the Deepavali week, young people prefer to rally on the streets and the weather was too hot.
No matter how they explained it, the rally was a failure compared to the PAS show of force in Terengganu. The PAS rally was a sea of people in green outfits whereas at the Pakatan rally, one could see more green grass than people.
“This is what it is like without PAS. If they cannot get PAS to come back, they are heading for defeat. But you know, it is like a football match – even though you know your team cannot beat the other team, you still got to go in and kick around,” said Andy Lim, a PKR supporter from Sungai Besar.
PKR big names like Nurul Izzah Anwar were there but kept a low profile while others like Rafizi Ramli were noticeable by their absence.
Another PKR leader from Penang said he “clocked in” and left shortly after.
Lim: They are heading for defeat without PAS.
The sense is that PKR leaders were not 100% committed to the event. The PKR flags were not put up until late in the afternoon because someone forgot to bring the flag poles.
“It laid bare what had till then been doubts about whether we have exhausted the 1MDB issue. We have misread the ground in our hurry to make gains, we have lost the young vote. But I want to read it positively, people have made up their minds, they don’t need more convincing,” said a DAP politician from Penang.
This was Dr Mahathir’s first rally as Pakatan chairman and he looked rather tired by the time it was his turn to speak. His adrenalin would have been pumping had there been a big crowd but it was far from the Malay tsunami that Pakatan leaders had been boasting of.
He stuck to the script and the crowd reserved their loudest cheers and claps for him even though everything he said had been said before.
His repertoire of topics have been slowly shrinking. His claim that Malaysia is a failed state cannot be used anymore given the steady growth rates in the past few years.
Neither is Malaysia going bankrupt given the inflow of investments.
As such, it was basically a hate speech about his nemesis Datuk Seri Najib Tun Razak whom he described as “musuh negara” or national enemy.
And that is now one of Pakatan’s biggest problem. They are so focused on denigrating Najib and the ruling coalition that they come across as selling the politics of hate rather than the politics of hope.
There is so little that is positive in their messaging and it explains why the youth cohort has lost interest in politics.
No one in Pakatan wants to ask the question whether Dr Mahathir has become a liability rather than an asset.
Petaling Jaya, where the rally was held, is a bedrock of DAP support.
A survey by a Chinese vernacular paper a few days after the rally indicated that more than 80% of those who read the publication want a change of government.
It reflected the Chinese sentiment yet they did not come out to show their support.
Khaw: Dr Mahathir has too much baggage.
“They support Pakatan but the urban Chinese middle class are not with Mahathir. His appeal is not in the city,” said political commentator Khaw Veon Szu.
Pakatan leaders thought that he would be able to stir the Malay ground and unite people with his star power.
But there has been this sense of uneasiness about Dr Mahathir. Can they trust someone who can change his political alliance and views the way people change their clothes?
Many out there are still evaluating him. They see him as a bag of contradictions, someone who has brought great change to the country but who is also the cause of many lingering problems.
For many voters, his message to topple Najib and change the government is like asking them to follow him across a fast-flowing river.
He has been unable to assure them what it will be like on the side of the river, he is unable to tell them who will be the Prime Minister if Najib goes.
Most of all, it is difficult for a 92-year-old man to inspire hope for the future because he belongs in the past. His leadership of Pakatan also failed to impress advocates of democracy abroad.
The Economist wrote a strong editorial titled: “Mahathir’s return shows the sorry state of Malaysian politics”.
It is quite sad that it has come to this.
As he stood on stage that night, his diction was slurred, he stumbled several times over his words and in what some thought was a rather Freudian thing, he said: “Not sure how long more, I want to finish this work.”
It has been a demoralising weekend but the old tiger is fighting on.
A day after the rally, he was chairing a Pakatan council meeting to discuss their alternative budget.
Azmin was present at the meeting. His flitting appearance at the rally had come on the heels of that strange exchange of tweets between him and the Prime Minister.
Najib had tweeted a picture of him and a smiling Azmin on the sidelines of the Conference of Rulers, with the cryptic caption: “Senyuman ada makna tu” (a smile full of meaning).
The pair was surrounded by the Mentris Besar of Perak, Terengganu, Kedah, Perlis and Melaka as well as the Chief Minister of Sarawak.
It was quite a powerful photo but the most striking thing about it was the camaraderie of the group.
From their big smiles and comfortable body language, it was as though the Barisan Nasional leaders regarded Azmin as their equal and someone they can work with.
A few hours later, Azmin retweeted the picture with an equally cryptic reply: “Smile, what’s the use of crying? Take action, what’s the use of sighing?”
What on earth was that about?
His government is the most successful among the three opposition states. He has carried himself well and even a former Selangor Mentri Besar had praised his political style.
Tan Sri Abu Hassan Omar told an online news portal that Umno needs leaders like Azmin. He said Azmin is strong and well-liked in his constituency but is in the wrong party.
Of course, Azmin was flattered. He thanked Abu Hassan but said that “I am not a frog”.
In hindsight, it is apparent why Azmin was less than thrilled about the rally.
Pakatan will struggle in the general election without PAS.
Negotiation over seats between PKR and PAS has broken down and PKR seats are in danger in the event of three-corner fights.
The uninspiring turnout at the rally showed that Pakatan has been unable to plug the big hole left behind by the exit of PAS.
It was like announcing to the world: Look, look, this is all we are left with now that PAS is gone. Azmin certainly did not need that at this point in time.
– ANN

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