First of all I was right (again) when I said that the DAP will nominate the next PM (after the next general elections in 2023).
But I was wrong in the timing. Because with the most recent MoU between the DAP/PH and the PN the Prime Minister has agreed to "inputs" from the DAP in making government policy, including of course the upcoming Budget 2022.
Meaning the DAP is already dictating to the PM now in 2021.
(Hello DAP, please do not over dictate, play it cool, step by step.)
The PM Ismail Sabri absolutely needs the DAP to support him to get the Budget 2022 through Parliament in October.
If any PM cannot survive without the DAP there is no need for the DAP to nominate exactly who shall be the PM. It does not matter. Practically it is the same thing. They can call the shots. So I was right - the DAP will nominate who shall be PM, because if Ismail Sabri does not listen to the DAP then out he goes.
Both UMNO and Dr Mahathir should realise that now you have to start delivering what the PH promised in that Manifesto anyway. But now - you have to listen to it with a gun pointed at your head. That is the difference.
For example limiting the term of the PM to two terms. I began writing about this in the late 1990s and in early 2000s. That we should restrict the term of the PM to two terms only. The same should apply for all Menteri Besar, Chief Ministers, Members of Parliament and ADUNs. Lets just keep changing them.
But UMNO and Dr Mahathir (in UMNO / Bersatu / PH) did not do any of this. So you got kicked out, you lost the vote, Dr Mahathir lost SEVEN by-elections and was overthrown in a coup de etat, TSri Muhyuddin got kicked out and now Ismail Sabri can only survive with the help of the DAP.
Padan muka. Serves you right.
If you had listened to me all these years and made those policy changes you would NOT have lost the general elections, you would not have lost the SEVEN by elections, you would not have lost the support of even your own party members and coalition partners. You would still be in office on your own steam.
And now here is a video from Sarawak. I dont how recent or how old is this video but the fact that I received this via email yesterday (15 September) and today is Malaysia Day (16 September) is more than a coincidence. People are actually asking 'What Malaysia Day?"
Negara Sarawak? Keluar Malaysia?
This is not the first time the Sarawakians (and Sabahans) are protesting and I dont think it will be the last either.
(Unless Shafie Apdal becomes the Prime Minister. If Shafie Apdal becomes Prime Minister then all this talk about Sarawak and Sabah leaving Malaysia will go away.
It is also super high time that we had a permanent PM's office in Kuching and KK. The PM must have a fixed schedule and office hours for at least two days a month in Kuching and another two days every month in KK).
So all this is the result of the failed "ketuanan Melayu" thinking, the failed Dasar Ekonomi Baru of the past 50 years and the Brader's more recent 'Islami-cessation' of the Malay mind. Thinking ceased among the Malays. Thanks to DEB and Islami-cessation orang Melayu jadi mati akal.
Ok here are some demographics about Malaysia. Our population now exceeds 32 million people, though the exact numbers are not known.
What is more important is that the accurate numbers of people by race and religion is not properly counted. What does this mean? It has serious implications, especially when elections are now won or lost on razor thin margins.
In the last Census (circa 2010??) the kleptocrats appointed the mamak minister to go and count the population. We lived in Bukit Jalil. Out of over 400 homes we were the only non-Chinese household.
During the Census they hired those unemployable university graduate types on contract basis to do the Census. A bunch of tudung wearing Malay girls came to our area. They saw that all the houses were Chinese (most had that red coloured Chinese tokong in front of the house. Ours was white / beige coloured - I bought it at the garden shop as an ornament). And many houses also had dogs. So the girls just walked around for a while and then left - without knocking on a single door (at least in my area, cos I was watching them.)
What does this mean? This means the ketuanan Melayu guys do not know the real demographics of the population in Malaysia. They do not know the exact numbers of non Malays either, especially in critical areas like Selangor, Perak, Penang and Klang Valley.
When they do the Census in the Malay areas they count the people, the cats and the chickens. So the Malay population numbers "look good."
But when it come to voting time, the UMNO boys lose the elections. Not only because the Malays dont vote for you anymore but because other races (especially the ever-BN faithful Indians) also dont vote for you anymore.
So bila undi Melayu pecah, all those Chinese, Indians, Ibans, Dusuns etc that YOU DID NOT COUNT DURING THE CENSUS all came out and voted against you.
Surprise !
In the 2010 census, 68.8% of the population were considered bumiputera, 23.2% Chinese, and 7% Indian. (As I said most or all of the Chinese in Bukit Jalil were not counted.)
In 2021 these were figures were 69.7% bumiputera, 22.5% Chinese, and 6.8% Indian.
But here is the catch. Who exactly are these "bumiputras"?
- As of 2017 Bumiputras totalled 68.8% of Malaysia's population.
- Muslim Malays make up 54.66%
- Other bumiputra make up 14.14%.
- Other bumiputra include Thais, Khmers, Chams, natives of Sabah and Sarawak
Malays made up only 54.66% of the population in 2017.
I got the following from Wikipedia, of course you can dispute these numbers. Some people are not included while others may have been "absorbed" into larger groups. (As I said there are no accurate figures).
Group Total
Malay Malaysian language 6,916,000
Malay, Kedah 3,095,000
Malay, East coast 2,448,000
Minangkabau 901,000
Indonesian (Java?) 796,000
Javanese 640,000
Bugis 139,000
Han Chinese, Hokkien 1,903,000
Han Chinese, Hakka 1,729,000
Han Chinese, Cantonese 1,396,000
Han Chinese, Teochew 1,004,000
Han Chinese, Mandarin 986,000
Han Chinese, Hainanese 396,000
Han Chinese, Northern Min 384,000
Han Chinese, Eastern Min 256,000
Straits Chinese 244,000
Iban 686,000
Brunei Malay, Kedayan 350,000
Filipino, Tagalog 456,000
Tausug 209,000
Dusun, Central 197,000
Lun Bawang/Lundayeh 31,600
Kelabit people 5,000
Tamil 1,796,000
Telugus 120,000
Punjabis 100,000
And here is the catch again - nowadays not all bumiputeras want to be identified with the 'Malay' bumiputras. Look at those people protesting in that video above. Those are mostly bumiputras (though there are some Chinese shouting "Salawak" in the video. Haiyya walau-eh, please learn to speak the language properly lah. Sudah berapa generasi lor.)
The Melanaus in Sarawak called themselves Malays. Now I dont know lah.
Tuan-tuan in Sarawak the Muslims make up 25% or less of the population. 75% of Sarawakians are Christian, Buddhists etc.
In Sabah the real numbers of "original" non-Muslims exceeds the Muslims - it still does if you deduct the Projeck IC immigrants from the Philippines.
And in the Semenanjung the 'Malays' includes the mamaks, 'pakistan' (punjabi muslims) etc.
Dulu masa Umno pegang more than 2/3 majority, the mamak dipanggil keling juga. Then when Umno lost the 2/3 majority in 2008, semua mamak jadi Melayu secara automatic. After the 2008 elections they placed tables below the Selangor Mansion building in Masjid India and asked the PR mamaks to isi borang for citizenship. Ramai mamak jadi citizen. KIMMA pun jadi Melayu.
Mamak ini sebenarnya very simple people. Depa kuat sembahyang - pagi-pagi depa mesti sembahyang subuh. Then the mamak rajin jaga bisnes - because the majority are business people. Lepas tu mamak rajin jaga family depa. Thats all.
But on the ground, the reality is bebudak jabatan agama pi kacau restoran mamak pasal halal lah and entah apa. Imigresen usik depa pasal permit pekerja asing lah. Majlis bandaran kacau depa pasal letak meja / barang niaga di kaki lima. Bayar duit sikit semua boleh kautim. So bila time election, mamak pun fed up, depa undi pembangkang.
So even though the bumiputera population is 69% or the Malay "ori" population is 54.66% these numbers are not very accurate because they include the non-Malay bumiputera Sarawak, Sabah, the mamak, 'pakistan', thai and dont know who else who may not vote for 'ketuanan Melayu' anymore.
And then - jeng jeng jeng - even the Malay "ori" vote is split. Malays dont all vote for Umno anymore. Malays dont all vote for Pas. Malays dont all vote for PKR. The Malay vote is permanently split.
A friend of mine told me that when the British did a Census in 1950 the Malays were classified into SEVEN distinct groups including Melayu, Jawa, Banjar, Minangkabau, Mandeiling, etc.
The Javanese alone make up over 1.0 million 'Malays' in the Semenanjung. There are large numbers of Javanese in lower Perak, Selangor and of course Johor.
In places like Hutan Melintang (Perak), Sabak Bernam, Sungai Besar, Kuala Selangor, Sekinchan the lingua franca in the kampongs is still Javanese. Even Indians and mamak shopkeepers speak Javanese. And the DAP fellows in Sekinchan can speak Javanese.
In Sarawak the lingua franca is Iban. In Miri if you speak Malay you are obviously an alien (which I found out personally).
With the formation of UMNO in 1946 and Independence in 1957 all these diverse groups of people agreed to forego their individual identities and unite as one 'masyarakat Melayu'. So the Javanese, the Minangs and the others developed a Malay identity. Also the Suluks in Sabah. With the consolidation of Malay political power, especially after 1969, the way to go was to be a full fledged Malay.
Why? Because everyone had high hopes that adhering to one, united Malay identity would benefit them.
Yes it worked for a while.
But now after 50 years the benefits are wearing thin. Very thin. Despite adopting a 'Malay' identity their plight is not improving as much as it should. And certainly not when compared to the Vietnamese, Singaporeans or even the Thais and Indonesians. We are falling behind.
At the end of the day it is not race, language or religion that feeds your children, keeps them off the streets, gives them jobs and opportunities. It is only the economy that counts. It is always about the economy. Bahasa, bangsa, agama semua boleh simpan bawah bantal.
The majority Kelantanese for example are laughing at the rest of the Malays for having voted for UMNO/BN. At last UMNO/BN kalah juga. For years the majority Kelantanese voted Pas and were the odd ones out. But now UMNO/BN are back. And the Pas (the favorite of the majority Kelantanese) are in bed with UMNO pula!! So the Kelantanese will vote for Pas again.
So be careful - if being a Malay does not help them as much as it should people may revert back to the solace, comfort, safety and familiarity of their own people to make their own way. Dont say I did not warn you.
Akhir kalam, Dasar Ekonomi Baru, "ketuanan Melayu", bahasa, bangsa, agama politics all just do not work.
In the end pi sign MoU dengan DAP pula. Punyalah bodoh.
Duduk bawah telunjuk DAP pula.
If you had listened to what I have been saying all these years all these problems could have been avoided.
But what did the dunggus do? They went and banned my book Malaysia and the Club of Doom - The Collapse of the Islamic Countries.
They banned my book in 2016 - T E N Y E A R S after the book went out of print. Punyalah bodoh. What else can I say? I told you so.
The views expressed are those of the writer and do not necessarily reflect those of MMKtT.
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