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MALAYSIA Tanah Tumpah Darahku

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Sunday, November 20, 2022

Hung Parliament, Hung State Governments. Who Will Team Up With Who? The Kingmaker is UMNO Again.

 FOLKS WE ARE AGAIN HEADED FOR A PERIOD OF GREAT POLITICAL INSTABILITY. WHAT IS YOUR FAVORITE HOTEL? SHERATON, HILTON, SHANGRI LA, HAPPY TIMES HOTEL?

 

 

As you can see the single largest winner in Parliament is PAS. They have won 49 seats. I never liked them but still congratulations. Tahniah diucapkan.

But PAS has certainly benefited from the Malay protest vote who were fed up with UMNO and Zahid Hamidi. PAS is NOT on solid ground and UMNO has totally lost the plot.  

The DAP has performed weaker winning 40 parliamentary seats, two less than in 2018. Nonetheless a real prformance by the DAP. I believe this time around the DAP has suffered from the association with Anwar Ibrahim and PKR.

Why do I say this? Because PKR has won only 31 Parliamentary seats out of the 102 they contested. This is a significantly weaker performance than in 2018. But of course in 2018 Anwar was in jail. 

I HAVE SAID THIS BEFORE AND I WILL SAY IT AGAIN - PKR PERFORM POORLY WHEN ANWAR IS BACK IN TOWN. PKR ALWAYS PERFORM BETTER WHEN ANWAR IS NOT AROUND. 

And Nurul Izzah his daughter has lost in Permatang Pauh, their family's "personal" Parliamentary seat.

However my sincere congratulations to Dato Sri Wan Azizah (Anwar's wife) who has won in Bandar Tun Razak. Congratulations again. She has my vote anytime.

(By the way, congratulations to Fahmi Fadzil - my candidate - who has retained Lembah Pantai. I believe Fahmi got FOUR votes from our family). 

It looks like Amanah is here to stay because they have won EIGHT Parliamentary seats. I believe Amanah has a better future than PAS. As I said the vote for PAS is a protest vote by disgruntled UMNO supporters. PAS will screw things up - just wait and see. The lebais have tasted the good things in life. Boleh beli Mecedi lagi.  

But if Amanah plays their cards right, they have a better future. But they have to dump Anwar Ibrahim. 

UMNO has won only 26 Parliamentary seats - out of 120 contested. 21% success rate. That is a failure.

UMNO punya bodoh masih calonkan haprak-haprak seperti Wak Jahid, Thambi Baling Hitam, Mamak Babuji, Ice Man Co'meth', Ikan Bakar. Wak menang tetapi yang lain semua kalah. 

Serupa 2018 dulu. UMNO tak ada telor nak suruh Najib jangan bertanding. Tapi UMNO tak ada telor. Pada 2018 Najib menang tetapi UMNO kalah di banyak tempat lain, Najib masuk penjara.

Kali ini UMNO tak ada telor lagi. Takut suruh Wak jangan bertanding. Serupa Najib, Wak menang kawasan dia tetapi di tempat lain UMNO masuk tong sampah. Serves you right. 

Suruh Wak resign saja sebagai kepala. Elok ganti dengan Tok Mat atau H20.  Do it now. 

Tak lama nanti Wak akan pakai baju fesyen berjalur-jalur. 

And UMNO must get rid of all the samseng-samseng cyber trooper,  termasuk yang gemuk macam kerbau pendek atau muka macam beruk. How stupid can you get?

But still no one has the numbers to form a Federal government.

I believe GPS Sarawak will work with BN. They may work with Bersatu but not PAS.  GPS Sarawak may not work with DAP or PKR. Its complicated. So GPS' role as kingmaker is "recalculable".

UMNO/BN can work with PKR but DAP supporters will be up in arms if DAP works with UMNO. So Anthony Loke, you better think carefully.  (Personally I think it is a workable idea - time to break the ice between UMNO and DAP. But minus Wak Jahid of course. And put your foot down on policy changes).

UMNO/BN can work with PN and GPS but again I think Wak Jahid cannot be part of the equation. This is where Tok Mat or H2O have to step up for Umno.

 


In Johor and Melaka the BN can form the State government easily. In Pahang the PN may marry with the BN.  

Same situation in Perak becaue PN has won 26 out of 59 State seats. They need FOUR  more State seats for a simple majority of ONE. If anyone drops dead and there is a by-election, Perak is precarious.

Perlis goes solidly to PN and Sarawak is solidly held by GPS. 

But Sabah is complicated. In Sabah, the BN, PH, GRS and Others ALL have to work together. 


 

MALAYSIA IS IN FOR GREAT POLITICAL UNCERTAINTY AHEAD FOLKS. 

WHAT IS YOUR FAVORITE HOTEL? SHERATON, HILTON, SHANGRI LA, HAPPY TIMES HOTEL?

 The views expressed are those of the writer and do not necessarily reflect those of MMKtT.

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