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Wednesday, July 10, 2019

Turkey Headed For Economic Collapse?

Image result for Turkey country

Erdogan risks pushing Turkey’s economy into collapse 
similar to Latin America populist regimes

Turkey on very similar path of policy missteps to ruin
Capital controls, nationalisation, no private sector protection

Erdogan dismissed central-bank Governor for high interest rates 

bad economic policies extract political cost
    
Instead of fixing underlying economic problem
govt attacks symptoms : inflation, slow growth, weak currency, slow investment

real problems ignored, get worse
bad monetary policies, increasing interventionism
failure to develop local financing markets
too low savings, bad foreign policies

govt blames other groups instead of itself
makes investors more worried 
more scapegoats as economy worsens

economic outlook worsens
capital flight, declining investment 

govt starts taking action 
capital controls, nationalization, contracts in lira 
Eventually no financing, no growth, big crisis 

My comments :  Thats what some investment managers say.   Note the coloured highlights. Do you see any similar patterns or behaviour with our government ?  It is worse here.  Most just  do not know what to do.  

1 comment:

  1. April 20, 2019 - Erdogan’s son-in-law’s corruption speaks volumes about Turkey - http://www.theportal-center.com/2019/04/erdogans-son-in-laws-corruption-speaks-volumes-about-turkey/

    2014 - Erdogan and the Traitors Scandal and Protests Threaten Turkey's AKP

    Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan is facing the most difficult challenge of his premiership.

    Corruption scandals, a weakening economy and a draining battle with the Gülen movement have the leader reeling ahead of important local elections....

    https://www.spiegel.de/international/europe/turkish-prime-minister-erdogan-facing-corruption-scandal-protests-a-959453.html

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