The future of Malay politics and the shifting dynamics of political alliance - By Tok Nujum

 

I received this from someone (thank you). A brief commentary written by a Tok Nujum. I do not know who is Tok Nujum. I have some comments at the end. I have slightly adapted the piece.

*The future of Malay politics and the shifting dynamics of political alliance.*

*By Tok Nujum*

With gossip within the political circle that Backdoor is trying to cut a deal with PAS in preparation for GE 16, DAP's future looks bleak within the Chinese community and same goes with UMNO amongst the Malay community.

The Chinese community ditched MCA after the HINDRAF rally in 2007, seeing the bold Indian voters taking on the might of the then UMNO BN hegemony. MCA was then seen as beyond repair by the Chinese, just like the Indians saw MIC.

The Chinese electorate backed DAP and by extension PKR and PAS (eventually Amanah) in 2008 in the hope that Backdoor who portrayed himself as the “KING OF REFORM” would really overhaul the country which is sinking into extreme ideas of religious politics. Creeping Islamisation in the lives of non-Muslims, interference in the ju----ary, M--C, and Parliamentary democracy were instances seen as a threat to our democratic institution. Backdoor presented himself as a true Islamic reformist who would uphold Islam as well as ensure the rights of the minorities are protected. This moderate Islam approach was acceptable to most Non-Muslims.

However, Backdoor has since disappointed many who believed in him. "He has lost the plot', many would say. He is not bothered about the need to ensure the country progresses, modernize businesses, and move Malaysia to be a competitive player in the international market. Instead, he is busy visiting his colleagues from the Muslim Brotherhood, portraying himself as a true champion of the Islamic faith, bending backwards to please the religious politicians who he thinks would shift their support towards him. Unfortunately his gestures to please the Islamists are not successful. It simply isn’t happening, and realizing this, he has made bold moves to strike a deal with PAS and, in the process, ditching the man who made him in the first place, Z---d. Z---d ensured the 30 BN MPs backed him and secured the minimum 112 required in the early hours of 20th November 2022. For this Z---d almost faced a revolt within but he did what he did to ensure Malaysia would be ruled by a Unity government that would bring new hope to Malaysia.

In the next GE, Backdoor will most likely be ditching UMNO. He is likely to cut a separate arrangement with DAP. He does not care about Amanah. Backdoor thinks the Chinese and Indians have no choice but to be with him, as should the country have a PAS PM, then the plight of the Chinese and Indians would be worse.

There is a palpable sense of uncertainty among the Chinese and Indian communities. 
The Indians, in particular, have lost faith in Backdoor. 
His attempts to win back support through last minute dramatic gestures and concessions would no longer be effective. The Indians realize his MGR antics was just a con.  
The Chinese, too, are beginning to question the direction of his leadership and its implications for the country.

If DAP insists on being part of Pakatan, with Backdoor entering into an electoral pact with PAS, the Chinese would probably leave DAP and support MCA, which is likely to team up with Bersatu in GE 16.

• Hence, DAP, Amanah, MAP, and UMNO and other smaller parties would prove to be a potent force to take on other coalitions and political pacts. 
• The people are more politically mature and look for principled leadership rather than leadership of convenience for the sake of remaining in power.

My Comments : 

DAP is losing support in the Chinese community. The DAP's own 'bedmates' can also see this. No one wants to sleep with a loser. The DAPs increasing unpopularity is within and beyond its control. Beyond its control because the Chinese do not like DAP sleeping with the highly unpopular UMNO. And of course lately the Chinese are none too crazy over PKR either. The DAP can decide to ditch UMNO and Pakatan altogether.  This is within their control. If they want to be practical. Worse case go it alone. Or the DAP can stay in Pakatan and be prepared to lose more seats. If the DAP loses say 10 seats (from 40 down to 30) then the DAP will become insignificant again. I dont think the DAP can win 40 seats.

The Indians - I think if he sings another MGR song, the Indians can be conned again. Or he can sing Vaaluge Tamil Eelam. 

Before I forget, I believe the voters in Lembah Pantai and Tambun are fed up. These two seats will be easy pickings for a strong contender from another party. Never before has an incumbent prime minister lost his parliamentary seat in Malaysia. But there can always be a first time. 

Hello readers, hello DAP ponder this, what if Backdoor loses his parliamentary seat? Have you thought about that?  Or maybe the DAP can recommend another "safe seat"? Sungai Siput has two toll gates Utara and Selatan.

Lembah Pantai (where I vote) is super notorious for throwing its MPs into the tong sampah. Shahrizat served more than one term as our MP. Then under Badawi the Lembah Pantai voters kicked her out. Shahrizat was replaced by Nurul. But for only one term. She was not popular. She would not have won again. And true enough for the next round she did not defend her Lembah Pantai seat. She balik kampong. 

The same vibes are being felt about the incumbent now. There is no guarantee he can win again. There is a strong chance that the voters will vote out the fellow as well. Lembah Pantai is notorious for doing just that.  

But going back to Tok Nujum's comments above, can you notice that something really absolutely huge is missing? What about the people? What about the voters?

'strike a deal with PAS, ditching the man who made him,  likely be ditching UMNO,  cut a separate arrangement with DAP,  being part of Pakatan, leave DAP and support MCA' bla bla bla.

Ok but what about the people? 
What about the voters? 
What about us? 
What do we get?

 

Najib and BN crapped all over the people. We kicked them out.
Dr M 2.0 crapped all over the people. He got kicked out.
Muhyiddin did not do any better. Out he went.
Sabri did not do any better either, He was put in the bin.
Now these jokers are continuing with the same plot. 
They will get booted as well.

The local rice is still missing from the shops and the supermarkets. 
Egg prices have come down. That is because the price control on eggs was removed. 
There is enough chicken in the market. Because the price control on chicken was abolished.

Local rice (beras tempatan) is still a problem.
Car prices are still too expensive.
Banking services are expensive - it is an oligopoly.
Education is a huge problem.
The Ringgit is going down.

The list is much longer. 

What is being done to help the people? 

All the people.

 

RM25 million has been promised to rehab the 400 'madrassah liwat' kids. 

That works out to RM62,500 per child. That is our money.

Another way of saying it 'If they get liwatted the gomen helps them'.

Another way of saying it, 'If you want the gomen to help you, then get . . . ??

Even the Palestinians are being helped.

They were flown here using our money. Banyak cantik.

 

MY SUGGESTION

 

Let me repeat my 100% guaranteed formula for the Pakatan Harapan to win a 2/3 majority in the 16th General Elections in 2027.

My suggestion will give millions of hardworking Malaysians a salary increment of hundreds of Ringgit or thousands of Ringgit WITHOUT having to increase the Minimum Wages. 

It will reduce transportation and logistics costs throughout the country.

Transportation expenses will become cheaper.

Taxi fares and bus fares will become cheaper.

The costs in the construction industry will become cheaper.

Houses will become cheaper.

Manufacturing costs will become cheaper.

Our exports will become cheaper.

construction contributed 3.6% to (GDP) in 2023
manufacturing contributed 23% to (GDP) in 2023

• All you have to do is abolish the APs to import all types of motorised vehicles.
• Abolish the entire regime of import duties, taxes, levies, excise or whatever on imported motor vehicles.
• Replace all that with one standard import tax of 15% only.

This will greatly reduce the insanely expensive motor vehicles prices in the country - both imported and locally manufactured.

In California  the starting price for a 2024 Toyota Camry is RM 115,000  (US$26,420). This is the real price of a Toyota Camry in the world markets.

Business and industry will benefit tremendously. Whatever the gomen loses in import duties will be regained from a much higher economic performance in the economy. When motor vehicles and transportation costs are cheaper the economy will become more active.  Business will move forward. The gomen will collect even more taxes. 

If a Toyota Camry sells for RM115,000 the monthly instalment payments will be much cheaper. Hundreds of Ringgit cheaper. People will have more savings in the pocket. The people will get an automatic salary increment. 

And the prices of all motor vehicles will come down.

Plus the PH will win a 2/3 majority in Parliament.

DAP, PKR, UMNO can all sleep together. No need to break up. ditch your coalition partners etc.

All you need to do is to do something for the people. 
So far you have done nothing much for the people.  

The Malays have little stake in the real economy. The Malay economy is still government procurement, bumiputra quotas, GLC jobs, licenses, permits, Ali Baba, gomen handouts. It is going to be extremely difficult for any one Malay party (PKR, Umno, Bersatu, Pas, Amanah) to create new wealth among the Malays by giving them handouts.   Because you are not creating new wealth. You are merely redistributing (AGIH = a four letter word) tax collections from other hard working taxpayers. For example if you AGIH RM100 million to Tan Sri XY, then that is RM100 million less to be AGIH for ALL the other Malays combined.  Tax collections are a limited resource. On the other hand new wealth creation is unlimited.

And do remember this:

Najib and BN crapped all over the people. We kicked them out.
Dr M 2.0 crapped all over the people. He got kicked out.
Muhyiddin did not do any better. Out he went.
Sabri did not do any better either. He was put in the bin.
Now these PH jokers are continuing with the same plot. 
They will get booted as well. 

The views expressed are those of the writer and do not necessarily reflect those of MMKtT.