What are PKR's odds of winning GE16?

 

YOURSAY | 'Doubt there are any safe seats left for PKR or Anwar.' 

PKR GE16 analysis flags ‘marginal’, ‘red zone’ seats for Anwar and top leaders

OrangePanther1466: I doubt there are any safe seats left for PKR or its president, Anwar Ibrahim. He may not even return to Parliament, let alone secure a second term as PM.

The analysis appears flawed and tailored to please party leadership. PKR may soon become history. It will be more interesting to observe how Umno performs in the coming polls.

Umno Youth Chief Dr Akmal Saleh needs to tone down the “No DAP” rhetoric, as cooperation with DAP may be necessary to form the next government after the 16th general election. Jamaluddin and Khaled Nordin into more prominent roles.

Frankly, its deputy president, Mohamad Hasan, has delivered a tepid performance so far. He appeared more like a follower during the Negeri Sembilan imbroglio and should have known better.

World Citizen: Forget the tier system. Any seat contested by Anwar and his allies is now a red zone and likely to be lost.

The only relatively safe seats for PKR may be those aligned with former deputy president Rafizi Ramli – and even that is uncertain if internal divisions persist.

This could mean a near wipeout for PKR in GE16. The worrying part is the lack of a credible alternative. Perikatan Nasional may consolidate Malay votes, and if non-Malay voters stay home, PN could win decisively.

A third force could still make an impact, as seen in recent elections in Tamil Nadu, India.

Rafizi has hinted at developments in June. Independents may emerge, and fragmented parties might unite into a new coalition. We will have to wait and see.

Vijay47: Searching for the reasons why PKR’s popularity is eroding so rapidly may be a futile effort. We can criticise and condemn, but by all accounts, the blame can be placed squarely on one man who has made betrayal an art form – Anwar.

Having persuaded non-Malays that he was the greatest thing since sliced nasi lemak, he has now returned to what many see as his true calling – the continued pampering of Malays and Muslims.

Other than token gestures, what meaningful action has he taken for the many who supported him?

Never again, Anwar, never again. You can criticise me as you wish, but my two votes will never again go to you. I might even vote for PAS President Abdul Hadi Awang if he stood in Petaling Jaya - at least he is a sincere adversary.

Tambun, where you barely scraped through, may be where you fall next. So where will you go? Doors are closing.

GreenFalcon2290: The issue is not criticising Anwar - that is a given and not worth further emotional energy. The real question is the absence of a credible third force.

Such a force would require intelligence, composure and leadership qualities, none of which are clearly visible among those outside the two dominant coalitions.

Urimai’s P Ramasamy is often mentioned, but he lacks gravitas and charisma. Others remain in the shadows, with no clear direction. This is the real problem.

Dismissing a third force would be a mistake, even if it appears weak and disorganised. Voting for the “lesser evil” among the existing coalitions is not a solution.

A viable future requires clarity of thought, not emotional reactions. Serious groundwork must begin now. The time for amateurism and bluster is over.

Milshah: Malaysia lacks charismatic leaders. Across BN, Pakatan Harapan and PN, leadership quality is mediocre.

Part of the problem is that the leaders refuse to step aside for a younger generation. They cling to power.

Take former prime minister Dr Mahathir Mohamad – despite his flaws, he was undeniably charismatic and led for over two decades with strong electoral mandates.

Even internationally, figures like US President Donald Trump demonstrate how charisma and confidence can command loyalty, regardless of performance.

Today’s leaders lack that appeal. They remain in office without fresh ideas or meaningful contributions.

The likely outcome of GE? No coalition will secure a clear majority because all are equally uninspiring. The solution is simple: bring in new leadership. The public is tired of stagnant politics.

Coward: There has been no open discussion of the real problems. What we are seeing appears to be an insider leak.

So far, nothing presented goes beyond standard election planning. Any serious campaign must analyse each constituency’s strengths and weaknesses and develop targeted strategies.

We are not seeing that level of detail yet. Perhaps it will come later as part of a broader plan.

Vulcan King: By sidelining capable and loyal PKR MPs while subjecting them to internal pressure, both PKR as a party and Anwar as its president are digging their own graves.

At this rate, they will be decisively rejected in GE16.

Goodbye PKR and PMX. Your exit in the coming election seems inevitable. - Mkini