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Thursday, May 3, 2018

UMNO IN PANIC MODE – MAHATHIR’S TSUNAMI IS COMING: MALAY VOTES SWING FROM PAS TO PAKATAN & ‘ALMOST AT THRESHOLD’ TO WIN JOHOR – WILL NAJIB ORDER A CRACKDOWN?

KUALA LUMPUR — A survey has revealed that Malay support has swung from Islamist party PAS to Pakatan Harapan’s PKR after Nomination Day, making the party the second-most preferred by the majority after Barisan Nasional (BN).
Merdeka Center executive director Ibrahim Suffian at a seminar today said while 41 per cent of Malays still supported the ruling coalition, PKR has increased it support by 9 percentage points from 13 per cent of the demographic.
“Based on the new findings, PKR’s Malay support now stands at 22 per cent while the support for PAS has decreased from 16 to 13 per cent.
“The comparison was made based on two separate surveys conducted on April 16 and May 1,” he said at Menara Chulan here.
PAS was once part of the Opposition pact, but has now allied itself with others under parties the Gagasan Sejahtera pact.
Among the ethnic Indian voters, however, PKR has now topped BN by 5 percentage points.
“Before Nomination Day, BN and PKR had the same percentage of 31 per cent but after that, PKR now stands at 39 per cent while BN stands at 34 per cent,” he said.
Meanwhile, there has not been much change in support within the ethnic Chinese community where 61 per cent of the support goes to PKR, while BN lost 1 percentage point post-nomination.
The rest of the respondents, he said, did not disclose their choice, were unsure or declined to answer the question.
The data was derived from one of Merdeka Center’s many preliminary surveys leading up to May 9.
Ibrahim said he hopes to release the updated findings in a couple of days.

Survey: Pakatan gaining more Malay votes, almost at threshold to win Johor

KUALA LUMPUR — Pakatan Harapan (PH) has moved nearer towards reaching the threshold needed to win Johor in the election, according to independent pollster Merdeka Center’s preliminary survey.
Its executive director Ibrahim Suffian said while the situation still appears to favour Barisan Nasional, the latest findings revealed that the Opposition pact is gaining more Malay votes as polling day draws closer.
“We realise that Pakatan has gained additional Malay votes while the Chinese votes are maintained.
“It has reached a point where they are getting closer to the threshold. But at this point, BN still prevails,” he said at a Merdeka Center seminar at Menara Chulan here.
He, however, did not disclose the new percentages as of May 1, as the survey was still ongoing.
Ibrahim said he hoped to reveal the updated findings containing the latest figures by next week.
Last week, Merdeka Center released its findings which showed that the ethnic Chinese in Johor has expressed the most confidence for Pakatan at 77.6 per cent.
Meanwhile, Malay and ethnic Indian support stood at 19.4 per cent and 32.7 per cent respectively.
He previously said PH needed an extra 10 per cent of Malay support and 5 per cent of Chinese support to have a realistic chance at capturing the state.
The findings were formulated from data collected up until April 9.
In 2013, then opposition pact Pakatan Rakyat had won 18 out of 56 state seats in Johor, which was triple the number of seats it previously won in 2008.
MALAY MAIL

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