This is interesting,
Muhyiddin hints at running for Gambir state seat
Well, of course the follow up story is this
Typical Khaled Nordin’s statement.
Anyway, I think Muhyiddin’s possible move to Gambir has the same reasoning as my thoughts in my last post
Yup, if Muhyiddin really decides to contest that state seat, then it’s an obvious move to prepare himself to be the first Pakatan Harapan menteri besar of Johor.
As for the parliament seat he said he’s contesting, I’m quite sure that he will defend Pagoh.
There were talks that he’s to contest Muar which BN is holding by a slim majority in 2013 but that one was given to the boy Syed Saddiq.
I doubt Muhyiddin will risk going to another parliamentary constituency where his chances of winning are not so reassuring.
Back to that Gambir seat, it should be noted that in 2013, Johor MIC chief M. Asojan received 8,705 votes (46.6 per cent) to win by a razor thin majority of 310 against the then Johor Pas chief Mahfodz Mohamed who received 8,395 votes (44.9 per cent) and two independant candidates. At that time, Gambir had 21,382 voters consisting Malays (55 per cent) Chinese (40 per cent) and Indians (4 per cent).
In the previous general election in 2008, Asojan had won in Gambir by a majority of 2,463 after he received 8,190 votes (58.8 per cent) as compared to Pas candidate Kasim Ibrahim who received 5,727 votes (41.1 per cent). That year, Gambir had 18,724 voters with almost the same racial demographic as in 2013.
So, I think if Muhyiddin is really going to Gambir against Asojan, his chances of winning are actually quite good.
As it goes, even if Pakatan fails to capture Putrajaya but captures Johor, Muhyiddin can become the state’s menteri besar again.
That would be quite something, I think.
For instance, I do wonder how will be the relations between a Pakatan state government led by Muhyiddin and the Johor palace.
For context, read this,
A tale of two former MBs
That would be awkward, I think.
Well, whatever it is, I still think the chances of Pakatan capturing Johor are quite slim. As I wrote previously, I only gave at most 35 per cent of that happening.
Bear in mind that in 2013, about 83 per cent of Malays who voted in Johor sided with BN. This has always been the case in Johor, which is the Umno’s tiang seri.
However, I think Johor BN should not rest on its laurels and instead go head on against the Pakatan threat.
Well, the best should be, in my humble opinion, for Khaled himself to go against Muhyiddin in Gambir.
Seriously okay.
After all, the guy said Johor BN will ensure Muhyiddin’s defeat.
What better way than he himself defeating Muhyiddin, right?
Hey, if former MB TS Abdul Ghani Othman can face off with DAP supremo Lim Kit Siang in the Chinese majority Gelang Patah in 2013, surely Khaled can do the same with Muhyiddin this time. At least it would be a more even fight as Gambir is a Malay majority constituency.
If Ghani can be so brave to lead the charge at the frontline, surely Khaled can do the same instead of contesting a safe seat.
Well, I really hope Khaled is brave too.
Really.
Interestingly, Gambir is part of Ledang, which Umno division used to be headed by Ghani.
Hmmm….unless Khaled wants to get Ghani out of retirement to fight Muhyiddin there for him….interesting isn’t it?
That’s a possibility, right?
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| Khaled and Ghani at Saujana on the day Johor BN announced its candidates for the 2004 general election |
Hmmm….I don’t think so. That’s not going to happen.
Ghani may even get angry with me for suggesting it.
Sorry Datuk Ghani.
I”m just kidding a bit on that part, okay.
Well, I still prefer Khaled to fight Muhyiddin in Gambir, anyway.
That would be a real macho fight for the Johor MB seat, don’t you think?
Whatever it is, I think this potential Muhyiddin versus Khaled in Gambir may even eclipse that fight at
This build up for the Battle of Johor is getting very interesting indeed.
– http://lifeofaannie.blogspot.sg
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