KUALA LUMPUR: The date for the dissolution of Parliament may have been announced, but political analysts continue to play a guessing game on the date of the 14th general election (GE14).
They are strongly predicting that the polls would be held between April 29 and May 1.
Universiti Teknologi Malaysia (UTM) geopolitics strategist Azmi Hassan said based on previous elections, the average time needed by the Election Commission (EC) to hold the general election was only 25 days from the dissolution of Parliament.
“My best guess is 25 days from now. It will not extend until Ramadan and this is after taking into consideration the minimum campaign period of 11 days,” he told Bernama.
As Parliament would be dissolved on Saturday, and given the average time of 25 days needed by the EC to put everything in place as predicted by Azmi, the polling day may fall on May 1 which is also Workers’ Day and a public holiday in Malaysia.
“It’s not a problem for the polls to be held on a public holiday. In fact, it is even better as more voters will come out and cast their votes.
“This situation also suits the current sentiment of the public who are eager to vote, especially among the 1.6 million new voters. I anticipate over 80% voter turnout for GE14,” he said.
Meanwhile, National Council of Professors’ Political, Security and International Affairs Cluster head Mohamed Mustafa Ishak said nominations were usually held within 10 to 14 days after dissolution of Parliament, and would most probably be set on April 20.
He said the period of 10 to 14 days was deemed adequate for all political parties to finalise their list of candidates and for all the candidates to get prepared.
“I predict the polling to be held 10 or 11 days after the nomination, which is either on April 29 or 30. I’m sure that the EC will be able to get everything ready for the general election in just a month,” he said.
Sivamurugan Pandian of Universiti Sains Malaysia’s School of Social Sciences said he was going for the minimum campaign period of 11 days as he believed all political parties had been campaigning since the conclusion of the 2013 general election.
“They never stopped campaigning. The longer it (campaign period) is, the more issues will arise. As for the nomination day, it will normally take between 10 to 14 days after the dissolution of Parliament,” the political sociologist said. - FMT
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